agencies have predicted that nearly 1.5 million refugees and asylum
seekers are likely to try and flee from Iraq as a result of the
war. Yet planning for a refugee crisis by the international
community is woefully inadequate argues Gil Loescher a leading
refugee expert at the International Institute of Strategic
The refugees will flee into Iraq's
neighbouring countries. It is unlikely that these countries can
provide adequate assistance for these refugees or that they will
receive the International aid that would enable them to do so.
These conditions will create a secondary movement of refugees
heading onto the EU.
"The problem of secondary
movement poses considerable challenges for the EU" warns Gil
Loescher. To date EU policies have been about migratory control and
entry restrictions, Gil Loescher advocates a more preventative
approach, "improving conditions in origin of conflict in
development aid, in terms of political diplomacy, resolving the
long staying conflicts that prevent people from returning
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Page contact: Tom AbbottLast revised: Tue 18 Apr 2006